APHL

652.00 -19.00 (-2.83%)

Appolo Hydropower Limited · HydroPower

Trend

Slightly Bearish

Momentum

Neutral

Volume

Bearish

Volatility

Slightly Bearish

NSA Score

Sell

EMA 13 EMA 20 EMA 50 SMA 200 Bollinger Bands SuperTrend Parabolic SAR Keltner Channel Donchian Channel

RSI (14)

MACD (12,26,9)

Stochastic (14,3,3)

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 954.8 · Swing Low 646.1

0	954.8
0.236	881.95
0.382	836.88
0.5	800.45
0.618	764.02
0.786	712.16
1.0	646.1

Pivot Points

682.67

676.33

664.17

645.67

639.33

627.17

Pivot Point

657.83

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	681.53	Sell	Price is NPR 29.53 (4.33%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	693.78	Sell	Price is NPR 41.78 (6.02%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	733.51	Sell	Price is NPR 81.51 (11.11%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	681.91	Sell	Price is NPR 29.91 (4.39%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	680.99	Sell	Price is NPR 28.99 (4.26%) below SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	764.75	Sell	Price is NPR 112.75 (14.74%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	1.63	Buy	MACD line (-24.24) is above Signal (-25.87). Histogram: 1.63 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	-0.43	Sell	MACD(-52.37) vs Signal(-51.95), Histogram: -0.43. Bearish — sellers in control. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	739.97	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 739.97 (resistance). Price is NPR 87.97 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	659.65	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 659.65 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 659.65, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	16.28	Sell	ADX is 16.3 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=15.7, -DI=24.4. Bears dominate — -DI is above +DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	689.00	Neutral	Tenkan=689.00, Kijun=725.55 (bearish cross). Price is inside the cloud (indecisive). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-60.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=0, Down=60. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	-0.89	Sell	DPO is -0.89. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	34.81	Buy	RSI is 34.8 — oversold (NEPSE-adjusted zone). Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be undervalued — look for reversal confirmation before buying. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	18.06	Buy	%K=18.1, %D=28.3. Oversold — price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. Watch for %K crossing above %D for a buy entry.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	40.96	Neutral	StochRSI %K=41.0, %D=49.7. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-138.95	Buy	CCI is -138.9 (oversold). Below -100 means price is well below average — potential bottoming. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-93.05	Buy	Williams %R is -93.1. Oversold zone (below -80). Price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. May bounce — but confirm with other indicators before buying.
ROC (12)	Momentum	-5.51	Sell	ROC is -5.51%. Price has lost 5.51% over the last 12 days. Negative momentum — selling pressure over the past 12 trading sessions. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.56	Sell	TRIX is -0.5592. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-53.15	Sell	AO is -53.15. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	36.85	Neutral	UO is 36.9. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-2.13	Sell	PPO is -2.13%, Histogram: 2.16. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-2.30	Sell	Coppock is -2.30. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	683.07	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 683.07. Price is NPR 31.07 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	29.78	—	ATR is NPR 29.78 (4.57% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 29.78 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 59.56) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	-0.02	Buy	BB %B is -0.02 — price has broken BELOW the lower band. Could signal oversold conditions. Bandwidth: 8.20%. Research on NEPSE (Vaidya 2021) shows BB is useful but must combine with other indicators.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	2.05	—	5-day rolling volatility is 2.05%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	24.75	—	Mass Index is 24.75. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	8.38	—	Ulcer Index is 8.38 (moderate drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	731.00	Buy	Price is at 6.9% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 731.00, Lower: 646.10). Near the bottom — potential support area. A break below could signal a new downtrend.
MFI (14)	Volume	47.60	Neutral	MFI is 47.6. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.15	Sell	CMF is -0.1491. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	657.83	Sell	VWAP is NPR 657.83. Price is NPR 5.83 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	-50146.51	Sell	EFI is -50,147. Negative — selling force exceeds buying force. Large negative values indicate aggressive selling. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.