AVYAN

1060.00 +0.00 (+0.00%)

Aviyan Laghubitta Bittiya Sanstha Limited · Microfinance

Trend

Slightly Bullish

Momentum

Neutral

Volume

Slightly Bullish

Volatility

Slightly Bullish

NSA Score

Buy

EMA 13 EMA 20 EMA 50 SMA 200 Bollinger Bands SuperTrend Parabolic SAR Keltner Channel Donchian Channel

RSI (14)

MACD (12,26,9)

Stochastic (14,3,3)

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1200.0 · Swing Low 971.9

0	1200.0
0.236	1146.17
0.382	1112.87
0.5	1085.95
0.618	1059.03
0.786	1020.71
1.0	971.9

Pivot Points

1100.0

1080.0

1070.0

1040.0

1020.0

1010.0

Pivot Point

1050.0

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1047.84	Buy	Price is NPR 12.16 (1.16%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1043.34	Buy	Price is NPR 16.66 (1.6%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1044.83	Buy	Price is NPR 15.17 (1.45%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1044.25	Buy	Price is NPR 15.75 (1.51%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1030.85	Buy	Price is NPR 29.15 (2.83%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1041.83	Buy	Price is NPR 18.17 (1.74%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	1046.51	Buy	Price is NPR 13.49 (1.29%) above SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	4.61	Buy	MACD line (6.93) is above Signal (2.32). Histogram: 4.61 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.83	Buy	MACD(-7.45) vs Signal(-8.28), Histogram: 0.83. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	939.46	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 939.46 (support). Price is NPR 120.54 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1013.75	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1013.75 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1013.75, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	24.22	Buy	ADX is 24.2 (Developing trend). +DI=26.1, -DI=15.5. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1063.50	Neutral	Tenkan=1063.50, Kijun=1046.00 (bullish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	36.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=72, Down=36. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	-39.85	Sell	DPO is -39.85. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	54.04	Neutral	RSI is 54.0 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	58.95	Buy	%K=59.0, %D=58.0. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	61.96	Neutral	StochRSI %K=62.0, %D=62.4. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	56.30	Neutral	CCI is 56.3 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-41.01	Neutral	Williams %R is -41.0. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	5.79	Buy	ROC is 5.79%. Price has gained 5.79% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.02	Buy	TRIX is 0.0240. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	14.71	Buy	AO is 14.71. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	61.00	Neutral	UO is 61.0. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	1.46	Buy	PPO is 1.46%, Histogram: 1.46. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	10.46	Buy	Coppock is 10.46. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1059.13	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1059.13. Price is NPR 0.87 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	37.60	—	ATR is NPR 37.60 (3.55% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 37.60 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 75.21) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.73	Neutral	BB %B is 0.73 (band position 73%). Bandwidth: 12.15%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	0.87	—	5-day rolling volatility is 0.87%. Very low (<1%) — market is calm. Breakout may be imminent. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	25.70	—	Mass Index is 25.70. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	4.05	—	Ulcer Index is 4.05 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1117.00	Neutral	Price is at 59.9% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1117.00, Lower: 975.00). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	43.53	Neutral	MFI is 43.5. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.13	Buy	CMF is 0.1278. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1050.00	Buy	VWAP is NPR 1050.00. Price is NPR 10.0 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	48.76	Buy	EFI is 49. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.