GCIL

400.00 -1.30 (-0.32%)

Ghorahi Cement Industry Limited · Manu.& Pro.

Trend

Bullish

Momentum

Neutral

Volume

Bullish

Volatility

Slightly Bearish

NSA Score

Buy

EMA 13 EMA 20 EMA 50 SMA 200 Bollinger Bands SuperTrend Parabolic SAR Keltner Channel Donchian Channel

RSI (14)

MACD (12,26,9)

Stochastic (14,3,3)

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 421.3 · Swing Low 315.5

0	421.3
0.236	396.33
0.382	380.88
0.5	368.4
0.618	355.92
0.786	338.14
1.0	315.5

Pivot Points

447.5

434.4

417.2

386.9

373.8

356.6

Pivot Point

404.1

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	381.18	Buy	Price is NPR 18.82 (4.94%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	376.12	Buy	Price is NPR 23.88 (6.35%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	369.59	Buy	Price is NPR 30.41 (8.23%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	379.23	Buy	Price is NPR 20.77 (5.48%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	375.97	Buy	Price is NPR 24.04 (6.39%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	360.61	Buy	Price is NPR 39.39 (10.92%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	401.94	Sell	Price is NPR 1.94 (0.48%) below SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish. Being below 200 SMA is bearish — historically NEPSE struggles to rally when below this level.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	2.09	Buy	MACD line (8.98) is above Signal (6.89). Histogram: 2.09 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.90	Buy	MACD(-1.65) vs Signal(-2.56), Histogram: 0.90. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	355.56	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 355.56 (support). Price is NPR 44.44 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	370.00	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 370.00 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 370.00, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	30.41	Buy	ADX is 30.4 (Strong trend). +DI=33.6, -DI=9.7. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is strong enough to trade with confidence.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	394.55	Buy	Tenkan=394.55, Kijun=378.15 (bullish cross). Price is above the cloud (bullish). All signals align bullish — Tenkan above Kijun and price above cloud is the strongest Ichimoku buy signal.
Aroon (25)	Trend	76.00	Buy	Aroon Up=100, Down=24. Strong uptrend — the stock recently hit a new 25-day high and hasn't made a new low recently. Momentum clearly favors buyers.
DPO (20)	Trend	-3.97	Sell	DPO is -3.96. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	63.83	Sell	RSI is 63.8 — overbought (NEPSE-adjusted zone). Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be stretched — a pullback is likely. Consider taking profits. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	59.63	Buy	%K=59.6, %D=53.8. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	71.35	Neutral	StochRSI %K=71.3, %D=47.6. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	175.75	Sell	CCI is 175.8 (overbought). Above +100 means price is well above its statistical average — potential topping. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-36.10	Neutral	Williams %R is -36.1. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	5.68	Buy	ROC is 5.68%. Price has gained 5.68% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.29	Buy	TRIX is 0.2937. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	23.24	Buy	AO is 23.24. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	45.67	Neutral	UO is 45.7. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	3.06	Buy	PPO is 3.06%, Histogram: -0.34. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	8.38	Buy	Coppock is 8.38. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	381.62	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 381.62. Price is NPR 18.38 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	14.38	—	ATR is NPR 14.38 (3.59% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 14.38 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 28.75) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.89	Sell	BB %B is 0.89 — price is in the upper 20% of the bands. Approaching overbought. Bandwidth: 16.50%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	3.54	—	5-day rolling volatility is 3.54%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	26.59	—	Mass Index is 26.59. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	5.18	—	Ulcer Index is 5.18 (moderate drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	421.30	Neutral	Price is at 75.3% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 421.30, Lower: 335.00). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	71.34	Neutral	MFI is 71.3. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.18	Buy	CMF is 0.1811. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	404.10	Sell	VWAP is NPR 404.10. Price is NPR 4.1 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	670709.37	Buy	EFI is 670,709. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.