HATHY

405.00 -47.90 (-10.58%)

Hathway Investment Nepal Limited · Investment

Trend

Bearish

Momentum

Neutral

Volume

Slightly Bearish

Volatility

Slightly Bearish

NSA Score

Strong Sell

EMA 13 EMA 20 EMA 50 SMA 200 Bollinger Bands SuperTrend Parabolic SAR Keltner Channel Donchian Channel

RSI (14)

MACD (12,26,9)

Stochastic (14,3,3)

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 785.0 · Swing Low 401.0

0	785.0
0.236	694.38
0.382	638.31
0.5	593.0
0.618	547.69
0.786	483.18
1.0	401.0

Pivot Points

485.33

467.67

436.33

387.33

369.67

338.33

Pivot Point

418.67

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	524.78	Sell	Price is NPR 119.78 (22.82%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	553.23	Sell	Price is NPR 148.23 (26.79%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	622.67	Sell	Price is NPR 217.67 (34.96%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	544.01	Sell	Price is NPR 139.01 (25.55%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	569.37	Sell	Price is NPR 164.37 (28.87%) below SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	642.61	Sell	Price is NPR 237.61 (36.98%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	807.16	Sell	Price is NPR 402.15 (49.82%) below SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish. Being below 200 SMA is bearish — historically NEPSE struggles to rally when below this level.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	-16.03	Sell	MACD line (-51.89) is below Signal (-35.86). Histogram: -16.03 (expanding). Bearish pressure — MACD below signal suggests selling momentum. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	-3.51	Sell	MACD(-65.42) vs Signal(-61.91), Histogram: -3.51. Bearish — sellers in control. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	552.73	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 552.73 (resistance). Price is NPR 147.73 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	552.43	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 552.43 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 552.43, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	49.27	Sell	ADX is 49.3 (Strong trend). +DI=4.6, -DI=46.8. Bears dominate — -DI is above +DI. The trend is strong enough to trade with confidence.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	512.50	Sell	Tenkan=512.50, Kijun=539.00 (bearish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). All signals align bearish — consider reducing positions.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-100.00	Sell	Aroon Up=0, Down=100. Strong downtrend — recent new lows with no new highs. Selling pressure dominates.
DPO (20)	Trend	5.63	Buy	DPO is 5.63. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	18.27	Buy	RSI is 18.3 — heavily oversold. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be undervalued — look for reversal confirmation before buying. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	12.67	Buy	%K=12.7, %D=17.9. Oversold — price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. Watch for %K crossing above %D for a buy entry.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	0.00	Buy	StochRSI %K=0.0. Oversold — momentum is deeply stretched to the downside. A rise above 20 would confirm a buy signal.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-199.72	Buy	CCI is -199.7 (oversold). Below -100 means price is well below average — potential bottoming. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-98.21	Buy	Williams %R is -98.2. Oversold zone (below -80). Price is near the bottom of its 14-day range. May bounce — but confirm with other indicators before buying.
ROC (12)	Momentum	-31.88	Sell	ROC is -31.88%. Price has lost 31.88% over the last 12 days. Negative momentum — selling pressure over the past 12 trading sessions. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.80	Sell	TRIX is -0.7950. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-133.50	Sell	AO is -133.50. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	36.85	Neutral	UO is 36.9. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-6.95	Sell	PPO is -6.95%, Histogram: -1.74. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-37.31	Sell	Coppock is -37.31. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	532.57	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 532.57. Price is NPR 127.57 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	37.77	—	ATR is NPR 37.77 (9.33% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 37.77 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 75.54) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	-0.13	Buy	BB %B is -0.13 — price has broken BELOW the lower band. Could signal oversold conditions. Bandwidth: 45.72%. Research on NEPSE (Vaidya 2021) shows BB is useful but must combine with other indicators.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	5.51	—	5-day rolling volatility is 5.51%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	26.41	—	Mass Index is 26.41. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	16.25	—	Ulcer Index is 16.25 (high drawdown stress — significant pain for holders). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	633.40	Buy	Price is at 1.7% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 633.40, Lower: 401.00). Near the bottom — potential support area. A break below could signal a new downtrend.
MFI (14)	Volume	2.96	Buy	MFI is 3.0. Oversold — selling pressure with volume is extreme. Potential buying opportunity as selling may be exhausted.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.13	Sell	CMF is -0.1252. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	418.67	Sell	VWAP is NPR 418.67. Price is NPR 13.67 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	-6796303.36	Sell	EFI is -6,796,303. Negative — selling force exceeds buying force. Large negative values indicate aggressive selling. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.