HDL

1323.00 +11.00 (+0.84%)

Himalayan Distillery · Manu.& Pro.

Trend

Bullish

Momentum

Neutral

Volume

Bullish

Volatility

Slightly Bearish

NSA Score

Buy

EMA 13 EMA 20 EMA 50 SMA 200 Bollinger Bands SuperTrend Parabolic SAR Keltner Channel Donchian Channel

RSI (14)

MACD (12,26,9)

Stochastic (14,3,3)

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1363.2 · Swing Low 1120.0

0	1363.2
0.236	1305.8
0.382	1270.3
0.5	1241.6
0.618	1212.9
0.786	1172.04
1.0	1120.0

Pivot Points

1413.87

1388.53

1355.77

1297.67

1272.33

1239.57

Pivot Point

1330.43

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1245.22	Buy	Price is NPR 77.78 (6.25%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1226.28	Buy	Price is NPR 96.72 (7.89%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1194.48	Buy	Price is NPR 128.52 (10.76%) above EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1231.55	Buy	Price is NPR 91.45 (7.43%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1207.67	Buy	Price is NPR 115.33 (9.55%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1183.90	Buy	Price is NPR 139.1 (11.75%) above SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	1166.59	Buy	Price is NPR 156.41 (13.41%) above SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	13.96	Buy	MACD line (33.05) is above Signal (19.09). Histogram: 13.96 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	2.93	Buy	MACD(20.72) vs Signal(17.79), Histogram: 2.93. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1236.05	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1236.05 (support). Price is NPR 86.95 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1216.49	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1216.49 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1216.49, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	41.46	Buy	ADX is 41.5 (Strong trend). +DI=48.6, -DI=5.7. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is strong enough to trade with confidence.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1276.60	Buy	Tenkan=1276.60, Kijun=1256.70 (bullish cross). Price is above the cloud (bullish). All signals align bullish — Tenkan above Kijun and price above cloud is the strongest Ichimoku buy signal.
Aroon (25)	Trend	64.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=100, Down=36. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	-20.67	Sell	DPO is -20.67. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	84.77	Sell	RSI is 84.8 — heavily overbought. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be stretched — a pullback is likely. Consider taking profits. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	88.83	Sell	%K=88.8, %D=90.7. Overbought — price is near the top of its 14-day range. A %K crossing below %D here would be a strong sell signal.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	97.41	Sell	StochRSI %K=97.4. Overbought — more sensitive than regular RSI. A drop below 80 would confirm a sell signal. This is RSI applied to itself, making it faster at catching turning points.
CCI (20)	Momentum	210.14	Sell	CCI is 210.1 (extreme overbought). Above +100 means price is well above its statistical average — potential topping. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-19.98	Sell	Williams %R is -20.0. Overbought zone (above -20). Price is near the top of its 14-day range. Often signals a short-term pullback is coming.
ROC (12)	Momentum	11.46	Buy	ROC is 11.46%. Price has gained 11.46% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.22	Buy	TRIX is 0.2206. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	86.17	Buy	AO is 86.17. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	61.77	Neutral	UO is 61.8. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	2.90	Buy	PPO is 2.90%, Histogram: 1.34. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	17.18	Buy	Coppock is 17.18. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1245.32	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1245.32. Price is NPR 77.68 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	26.37	—	ATR is NPR 26.37 (1.99% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 26.37 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 52.74) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	1.07	Sell	BB %B is 1.07 — price has broken ABOVE the upper band. This is rare and usually means the stock is stretched. Bandwidth: 16.75%. A pullback toward the middle band is likely.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	2.11	—	5-day rolling volatility is 2.11%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	25.08	—	Mass Index is 25.08. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	0.42	—	Ulcer Index is 0.42 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1363.20	Sell	Price is at 81.1% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1363.20, Lower: 1150.20). Near the top of the channel — a breakout above could signal continuation, but also overbought risk.
MFI (14)	Volume	96.47	Sell	MFI is 96.5. Overbought — heavy buying volume has driven the indicator above 80. Smart money may start selling. MFI is like RSI but weighted by volume, making it more reliable for confirming price moves.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.24	Buy	CMF is 0.2440. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1330.43	Sell	VWAP is NPR 1330.43. Price is NPR 7.43 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	3279768.93	Buy	EFI is 3,279,769. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.