ICFCD89

1092.00 +6.00 (+0.55%)

8% ICFC Finance Limited Debenture 2089 · Bond

Trend

Neutral

Momentum

Neutral

Volume

Slightly Bullish

Volatility

Slightly Bullish

NSA Score

Neutral

EMA 13 EMA 20 EMA 50 SMA 200 Bollinger Bands SuperTrend Parabolic SAR Keltner Channel Donchian Channel

RSI (14)

MACD (12,26,9)

Stochastic (14,3,3)

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1140.0 · Swing Low 1064.2

0	1140.0
0.236	1122.11
0.382	1111.04
0.5	1102.1
0.618	1093.16
0.786	1080.42
1.0	1064.2

Pivot Points

1095.33

1094.67

1093.33

1091.33

1090.67

1089.33

Pivot Point

1092.67

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1093.18	Sell	Price is NPR 1.18 (0.11%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1093.24	Sell	Price is NPR 1.24 (0.11%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1094.04	Sell	Price is NPR 2.04 (0.19%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1093.17	Sell	Price is NPR 1.17 (0.11%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1094.22	Sell	Price is NPR 2.21 (0.2%) below SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1096.13	Sell	Price is NPR 4.13 (0.38%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	-0.26	Sell	MACD line (-0.23) is below Signal (0.04). Histogram: -0.26 (narrowing). Bearish pressure — MACD below signal suggests selling momentum. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	-0.10	Sell	MACD(0.24) vs Signal(0.33), Histogram: -0.10. Bearish — sellers in control. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1052.92	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1052.92 (support). Price is NPR 39.08 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1072.05	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1072.05 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1072.05, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	16.39	Buy	ADX is 16.4 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=21.0, -DI=17.5. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1092.84	Neutral	Tenkan=1092.84, Kijun=1092.74 (bullish cross). Price is inside the cloud (indecisive). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	0.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=60, Down=60. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	0.79	Buy	DPO is 0.79. Positive — price is above its 20-day detrended average, suggesting current cycle is in an upswing. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	49.28	Neutral	RSI is 49.3 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	45.53	Sell	%K=45.5, %D=49.5. Bearish — %K is below %D, suggesting downward pressure. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	18.16	Buy	StochRSI %K=18.2. Oversold — momentum is deeply stretched to the downside. A rise above 20 would confirm a buy signal.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-2.24	Neutral	CCI is -2.2 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-51.37	Neutral	Williams %R is -51.4. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	0.37	Buy	ROC is 0.37%. Price has gained 0.37% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	0.00	Buy	TRIX is 0.0006. Positive — triple-smoothed momentum confirms uptrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	4.20	Buy	AO is 4.20. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	58.66	Neutral	UO is 58.7. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	0.13	Buy	PPO is 0.13%, Histogram: -0.07. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-0.03	Sell	Coppock is -0.03. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1094.21	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1094.21. Price is NPR 2.21 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	16.47	—	ATR is NPR 16.47 (1.51% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 16.47 per day. Moderate volatility — normal trading conditions. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 32.94) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.41	Neutral	BB %B is 0.41 (band position 41%). Bandwidth: 2.17%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.15	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.15%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	27.32	—	Mass Index is 27.32. REVERSAL BULGE — value exceeded 27, which often precedes a trend reversal. Watch for the index to drop back below 26.5 to confirm.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	1.12	—	Ulcer Index is 1.12 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1119.68	Neutral	Price is at 48.6% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1119.68, Lower: 1065.80). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	32.76	Neutral	MFI is 32.8. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.36	Buy	CMF is 0.3570. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1092.67	Sell	VWAP is NPR 1092.67. Price is NPR 0.67 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	-3.18	Sell	EFI is -3. Negative — selling force exceeds buying force. Large negative values indicate aggressive selling. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.