MCHL

265.00 -4.80 (-1.78%)

Menchhiyam Hydropower Limited · HydroPower

Trend

Slightly Bearish

Momentum

Slightly Bearish

Volume

Slightly Bullish

Volatility

Neutral

NSA Score

Sell

EMA 13 EMA 20 EMA 50 SMA 200 Bollinger Bands SuperTrend Parabolic SAR Keltner Channel Donchian Channel

RSI (14)

MACD (12,26,9)

Stochastic (14,3,3)

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 308.7 · Swing Low 232.0

0	308.7
0.236	290.6
0.382	279.4
0.5	270.35
0.618	261.3
0.786	248.41
1.0	232.0

Pivot Points

285.67

280.33

272.67

259.67

254.33

246.67

Pivot Point

267.33

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	267.01	Sell	Price is NPR 2.01 (0.75%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	267.21	Sell	Price is NPR 2.21 (0.83%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	276.10	Sell	Price is NPR 11.1 (4.02%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	265.29	Sell	Price is NPR 0.29 (0.11%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	261.62	Buy	Price is NPR 3.38 (1.29%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	274.33	Sell	Price is NPR 9.33 (3.4%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	361.04	Sell	Price is NPR 96.04 (26.6%) below SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish. Being below 200 SMA is bearish — historically NEPSE struggles to rally when below this level.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	1.66	Buy	MACD line (-1.15) is above Signal (-2.81). Histogram: 1.66 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.34	Buy	MACD(-15.79) vs Signal(-16.13), Histogram: 0.34. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	279.27	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 279.27 (resistance). Price is NPR 14.27 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	254.20	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 254.20 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 254.20, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	17.76	Buy	ADX is 17.8 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=16.6, -DI=14.9. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	269.60	Neutral	Tenkan=269.60, Kijun=260.00 (bullish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-24.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=16, Down=40. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	-14.12	Sell	DPO is -14.12. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	47.37	Neutral	RSI is 47.4 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	62.22	Sell	%K=62.2, %D=68.8. Bearish — %K is below %D, suggesting downward pressure. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	61.82	Neutral	StochRSI %K=61.8, %D=71.2. Mid-range — no extreme signal. StochRSI is a momentum indicator of RSI itself, making it more responsive than plain RSI.
CCI (20)	Momentum	41.06	Neutral	CCI is 41.1 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-40.82	Neutral	Williams %R is -40.8. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	3.92	Buy	ROC is 3.92%. Price has gained 3.92% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.17	Sell	TRIX is -0.1659. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	2.69	Buy	AO is 2.69. Positive — short-term momentum (5-bar) exceeds long-term (34-bar), indicating bullish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	51.43	Neutral	UO is 51.4. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	0.21	Buy	PPO is 0.21%, Histogram: 2.02. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	12.07	Buy	Coppock is 12.07. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	269.83	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 269.83. Price is NPR 4.83 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	14.83	—	ATR is NPR 14.83 (5.6% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 14.83 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 29.66) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.58	Neutral	BB %B is 0.58 (band position 58%). Bandwidth: 17.13%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	2.27	—	5-day rolling volatility is 2.27%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	27.01	—	Mass Index is 27.01. REVERSAL BULGE — value exceeded 27, which often precedes a trend reversal. Watch for the index to drop back below 26.5 to confirm.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	6.70	—	Ulcer Index is 6.70 (moderate drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	285.00	Neutral	Price is at 62.3% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 285.00, Lower: 232.00). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	48.28	Neutral	MFI is 48.3. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.06	Buy	CMF is 0.0640. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	267.33	Sell	VWAP is NPR 267.33. Price is NPR 2.33 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	6273.82	Buy	EFI is 6,274. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.