NIBD84

1045.00 -19.90 (-1.87%)

8.5% Nepal Investment Bank Debenture 2084 · Bond

Trend

Neutral

Momentum

Slightly Bearish

Volume

Bullish

Volatility

Slightly Bullish

NSA Score

Neutral

EMA 13 EMA 20 EMA 50 SMA 200 Bollinger Bands SuperTrend Parabolic SAR Keltner Channel Donchian Channel

RSI (14)

MACD (12,26,9)

Stochastic (14,3,3)

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 1109.9 · Swing Low 1017.2

0	1109.9
0.236	1088.02
0.382	1074.49
0.5	1063.55
0.618	1052.61
0.786	1037.04
1.0	1017.2

Pivot Points

1045.0

Pivot Point

1045.0

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	1039.50	Buy	Price is NPR 5.5 (0.53%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	1041.23	Buy	Price is NPR 3.77 (0.36%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	1049.86	Sell	Price is NPR 4.86 (0.46%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	1035.06	Buy	Price is NPR 9.94 (0.96%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	1038.58	Buy	Price is NPR 6.42 (0.62%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	1052.47	Sell	Price is NPR 7.47 (0.71%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	—	—	Not enough data to compute. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	2.65	Buy	MACD line (-3.75) is above Signal (-6.40). Histogram: 2.65 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	0.26	Buy	MACD(-7.67) vs Signal(-7.93), Histogram: 0.26. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	1026.60	Buy	SuperTrend line is at NPR 1026.60 (support). Price is NPR 18.4 above the line. Uptrend confirmed — the line acts as trailing support. A break below would flip to Sell. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	1018.15	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 1018.15 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 1018.15, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	13.25	Sell	ADX is 13.3 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=38.8, -DI=40.3. Bears dominate — -DI is above +DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	1041.05	Sell	Tenkan=1041.05, Kijun=1059.60 (bearish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). All signals align bearish — consider reducing positions.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-76.00	Sell	Aroon Up=8, Down=84. Strong downtrend — recent new lows with no new highs. Selling pressure dominates.
DPO (20)	Trend	-8.28	Sell	DPO is -8.28. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	50.54	Neutral	RSI is 50.5 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	78.67	Buy	%K=78.7, %D=64.0. Bullish — %K is above %D, suggesting upward momentum. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	87.03	Sell	StochRSI %K=87.0. Overbought — more sensitive than regular RSI. A drop below 80 would confirm a sell signal. This is RSI applied to itself, making it faster at catching turning points.
CCI (20)	Momentum	54.59	Neutral	CCI is 54.6 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-41.72	Neutral	Williams %R is -41.7. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	0.97	Buy	ROC is 0.97%. Price has gained 0.97% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.09	Sell	TRIX is -0.0941. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-13.14	Sell	AO is -13.14. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	58.06	Neutral	UO is 58.1. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-0.76	Sell	PPO is -0.76%, Histogram: 0.35. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-0.75	Sell	Coppock is -0.75. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	1035.64	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 1035.64. Price is NPR 9.36 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	13.04	—	ATR is NPR 13.04 (1.25% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 13.04 per day. Low volatility (<1.5%) — calm market, tighter stop-losses work. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 26.08) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.65	Neutral	BB %B is 0.65 (band position 65%). Bandwidth: 4.19%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.93	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.93%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	19.79	—	Mass Index is 19.79. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	3.84	—	Ulcer Index is 3.84 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	1064.90	Neutral	Price is at 58.3% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 1064.90, Lower: 1017.20). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	34.82	Neutral	MFI is 34.8. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.34	Buy	CMF is 0.3420. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	1045.00	Sell	VWAP is NPR 1045.00. Price is NPR 0.0 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	27628.12	Buy	EFI is 27,628. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.