RHPL

169.10 -2.90 (-1.69%)

Rasuwagadhi Hydropower Company Limited · HydroPower

Trend

Bearish

Momentum

Slightly Bearish

Volume

Bearish

Volatility

Slightly Bearish

NSA Score

Sell

EMA 13 EMA 20 EMA 50 SMA 200 Bollinger Bands SuperTrend Parabolic SAR Keltner Channel Donchian Channel

RSI (14)

MACD (12,26,9)

Stochastic (14,3,3)

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 276.0 · Swing Low 156.0

0	276.0
0.236	247.68
0.382	230.16
0.5	216.0
0.618	201.84
0.786	181.68
1.0	156.0

Pivot Points

177.9

175.9

172.5

167.1

165.1

161.7

Pivot Point

170.5

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	175.73	Sell	Price is NPR 6.63 (3.77%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	184.00	Sell	Price is NPR 14.9 (8.1%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	213.40	Sell	Price is NPR 44.3 (20.76%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	170.18	Sell	Price is NPR 1.08 (0.63%) below SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	176.67	Sell	Price is NPR 7.57 (4.28%) below SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	225.48	Sell	Price is NPR 56.38 (25.0%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	266.69	Sell	Price is NPR 97.59 (36.59%) below SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish. Being below 200 SMA is bearish — historically NEPSE struggles to rally when below this level.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	2.62	Buy	MACD line (-16.51) is above Signal (-19.13). Histogram: 2.62 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	-0.28	Sell	MACD(-26.39) vs Signal(-26.11), Histogram: -0.28. Bearish — sellers in control. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	198.71	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 198.71 (resistance). Price is NPR 29.61 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	161.27	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 161.27 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 161.27, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	41.79	Sell	ADX is 41.8 (Strong trend). +DI=16.8, -DI=30.8. Bears dominate — -DI is above +DI. The trend is strong enough to trade with confidence.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	174.00	Sell	Tenkan=174.00, Kijun=205.50 (bearish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). All signals align bearish — consider reducing positions.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-40.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=0, Down=40. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	-13.67	Sell	DPO is -13.67. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	30.23	Buy	RSI is 30.2 — oversold (NEPSE-adjusted zone). Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. Price may be undervalued — look for reversal confirmation before buying. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	46.74	Sell	%K=46.7, %D=50.9. Bearish — %K is below %D, suggesting downward pressure. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	89.81	Sell	StochRSI %K=89.8. Overbought — more sensitive than regular RSI. A drop below 80 would confirm a sell signal. This is RSI applied to itself, making it faster at catching turning points.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-42.60	Neutral	CCI is -42.6 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-57.20	Neutral	Williams %R is -57.2. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	-0.65	Sell	ROC is -0.65%. Price has lost 0.65% over the last 12 days. Negative momentum — selling pressure over the past 12 trading sessions.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-1.34	Sell	TRIX is -1.3428. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-35.93	Sell	AO is -35.93. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	39.87	Neutral	UO is 39.9. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-12.05	Sell	PPO is -12.05%, Histogram: 2.65. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-13.26	Sell	Coppock is -13.26. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	171.21	Sell	10-day rolling mean is NPR 171.21. Price is NPR 2.11 below. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price below the 10-day mean suggests short-term bearish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	9.57	—	ATR is NPR 9.57 (5.66% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 9.57 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 19.13) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.39	Neutral	BB %B is 0.39 (band position 39%). Bandwidth: 39.24%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	2.03	—	5-day rolling volatility is 2.03%. Elevated (>2%) — above-normal swings. Be cautious with position sizes. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	26.27	—	Mass Index is 26.27. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	24.90	—	Ulcer Index is 24.90 (high drawdown stress — significant pain for holders). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	246.00	Buy	Price is at 14.6% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 246.00, Lower: 156.00). Near the bottom — potential support area. A break below could signal a new downtrend.
MFI (14)	Volume	35.69	Neutral	MFI is 35.7. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	-0.23	Sell	CMF is -0.2299. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	170.50	Sell	VWAP is NPR 170.50. Price is NPR 1.4 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	-267685.88	Sell	EFI is -267,686. Negative — selling force exceeds buying force. Large negative values indicate aggressive selling. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.