ULHC

339.90 +0.90 (+0.27%)

Upper Lohore Khola Hydropower Company Limited · HydroPower

Trend

Neutral

Momentum

Slightly Bearish

Volume

Slightly Bullish

Volatility

Slightly Bearish

NSA Score

Neutral

EMA 13 EMA 20 EMA 50 SMA 200 Bollinger Bands SuperTrend Parabolic SAR Keltner Channel Donchian Channel

RSI (14)

MACD (12,26,9)

Stochastic (14,3,3)

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 497.0 · Swing Low 260.0

0	497.0
0.236	441.07
0.382	406.47
0.5	378.5
0.618	350.53
0.786	310.72
1.0	260.0

Pivot Points

384.93

369.97

354.93

324.93

309.97

294.93

Pivot Point

339.97

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	326.23	Buy	Price is NPR 13.67 (4.19%) above EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	326.07	Buy	Price is NPR 13.83 (4.24%) above EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	347.12	Sell	Price is NPR 7.22 (2.08%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	321.15	Buy	Price is NPR 18.75 (5.84%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	313.38	Buy	Price is NPR 26.52 (8.46%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	341.15	Sell	Price is NPR 1.25 (0.37%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	449.71	Sell	Price is NPR 109.81 (24.42%) below SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish. Being below 200 SMA is bearish — historically NEPSE struggles to rally when below this level.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	5.77	Buy	MACD line (-1.93) is above Signal (-7.70). Histogram: 5.77 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	1.01	Buy	MACD(-31.43) vs Signal(-32.44), Histogram: 1.01. Bullish — momentum favors buyers. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	343.33	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 343.33 (resistance). Price is NPR 3.43 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	317.66	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 317.66 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 317.66, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	12.79	Buy	ADX is 12.8 (Weak/absent trend). +DI=24.2, -DI=16.1. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is weak — range-bound strategies may work better than trend-following.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	335.00	Neutral	Tenkan=335.00, Kijun=307.50 (bullish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). Mixed signals — wait for clearer direction.
Aroon (25)	Trend	48.00	Neutral	Aroon Up=100, Down=52. No clear trend. Aroon measures how recently the price hit a 25-day high (Up) or low (Down). Values above 70 confirm a trend.
DPO (20)	Trend	-14.38	Sell	DPO is -14.38. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	54.05	Neutral	RSI is 54.0 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	83.22	Sell	%K=83.2, %D=79.5. Overbought — price is near the top of its 14-day range. A %K crossing below %D here would be a strong sell signal.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	98.78	Sell	StochRSI %K=98.8. Overbought — more sensitive than regular RSI. A drop below 80 would confirm a sell signal. This is RSI applied to itself, making it faster at catching turning points.
CCI (20)	Momentum	99.48	Neutral	CCI is 99.5 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-15.89	Sell	Williams %R is -15.9. Overbought zone (above -20). Price is near the top of its 14-day range. Often signals a short-term pullback is coming.
ROC (12)	Momentum	30.73	Buy	ROC is 30.73%. Price has gained 30.73% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently. Strong momentum (>5%) suggests trend acceleration.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.36	Sell	TRIX is -0.3596. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-2.46	Sell	AO is -2.46. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	44.52	Neutral	UO is 44.5. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	2.54	Buy	PPO is 2.54%, Histogram: 5.24. Positive — 12-day EMA is above 26-day EMA in percentage terms, confirming upward momentum. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	24.22	Buy	Coppock is 24.22. Positive — originally designed to identify long-term buying opportunities. A turn from negative to positive is historically one of the most reliable buy signals. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	329.60	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 329.60. Price is NPR 10.3 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	20.64	—	ATR is NPR 20.64 (6.07% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 20.64 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 41.27) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.82	Sell	BB %B is 0.82 — price is in the upper 20% of the bands. Approaching overbought. Bandwidth: 26.22%.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	No squeeze — Bollinger Bands are outside Keltner Channels, normal volatility conditions. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.58	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.58%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	23.08	—	Mass Index is 23.07. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	8.26	—	Ulcer Index is 8.26 (moderate drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	355.00	Sell	Price is at 84.1% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 355.00, Lower: 260.00). Near the top of the channel — a breakout above could signal continuation, but also overbought risk.
MFI (14)	Volume	86.21	Sell	MFI is 86.2. Overbought — heavy buying volume has driven the indicator above 80. Smart money may start selling. MFI is like RSI but weighted by volume, making it more reliable for confirming price moves.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.00	Sell	CMF is -0.0045. Negative — money is flowing OUT of the stock ({strength} distribution). Sellers dominate with volume support. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Buy	OBV is rising over the last 20 days. Rising OBV confirms price increases are backed by volume — the uptrend is healthy. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	339.97	Sell	VWAP is NPR 339.97. Price is NPR 0.07 below VWAP. Price below VWAP means the average buyer is at a loss — bearish. VWAP acts as resistance.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	62474.86	Buy	EFI is 62,475. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.