UMHL

558.00 -1.00 (-0.18%)

United Modi Hydropower · HydroPower

Trend

Slightly Bearish

Momentum

Slightly Bearish

Volume

Slightly Bullish

Volatility

Neutral

NSA Score

Neutral

EMA 13 EMA 20 EMA 50 SMA 200 Bollinger Bands SuperTrend Parabolic SAR Keltner Channel Donchian Channel

RSI (14)

MACD (12,26,9)

Stochastic (14,3,3)

Fibonacci Retracement (60-day swing)

Swing High 646.0 · Swing Low 539.0

0	646.0
0.236	620.75
0.382	605.13
0.5	592.5
0.618	579.87
0.786	561.9
1.0	539.0

Pivot Points

570.2

564.6

561.3

552.4

546.8

543.5

Pivot Point

555.7

Indicator	Category	Value	Signal	Why
EMA 13	Moving Averages	559.30	Sell	Price is NPR 1.3 (0.23%) below EMA 13. 13-day Exponential MA. Optimal for NEPSE (30% CAGR in backtest). Reacts fast to price changes.
EMA 20	Moving Averages	561.31	Sell	Price is NPR 3.31 (0.59%) below EMA 20. 20-day EMA. Standard short-term trend filter used by most traders.
EMA 50	Moving Averages	569.34	Sell	Price is NPR 11.34 (1.99%) below EMA 50. 50-day EMA. Medium-term trend. A cross of EMA 13 above EMA 50 is a strong buy signal for NEPSE.
SMA 13	Moving Averages	555.76	Buy	Price is NPR 2.24 (0.4%) above SMA 13. 13-day Simple MA. Research shows this period gives the best risk-adjusted return on NEPSE (Sharpe 1.71).
SMA 20	Moving Averages	557.73	Buy	Price is NPR 0.27 (0.05%) above SMA 20. 20-day SMA. Also the mid-line of Bollinger Bands. Acts as dynamic support/resistance.
SMA 50	Moving Averages	573.83	Sell	Price is NPR 15.83 (2.76%) below SMA 50. 50-day SMA. Institutional-level trend gauge. Widely watched by NEPSE fund managers.
SMA 200	Moving Averages	571.42	Sell	Price is NPR 13.42 (2.35%) below SMA 200. 200-day SMA. The dividing line between bull and bear markets. Price above = long-term bullish. Being below 200 SMA is bearish — historically NEPSE struggles to rally when below this level.
MACD (12,26,9)	Trend	1.55	Buy	MACD line (-4.21) is above Signal (-5.75). Histogram: 1.55 (expanding). Bullish momentum is building — MACD crossing above signal is a buy trigger. Note: Standard 12-26-9 parameters tend to underperform buy-and-hold on NEPSE. Check the optimized MACD below.
MACD (34,72,3)	Trend	-0.05	Sell	MACD(-5.99) vs Signal(-5.94), Histogram: -0.05. Bearish — sellers in control. These parameters (34,72,3) were validated on frontier markets like Dubai (85% hit ratio) and are better suited for NEPSE's slower cycles than standard MACD.
SuperTrend (7,3)	Trend	600.82	Sell	SuperTrend line is at NPR 600.82 (resistance). Price is NPR 42.82 below the line. Downtrend active — the line acts as resistance overhead. A break above would flip to Buy. SuperTrend works well in trending NEPSE markets driven by herd behavior.
Parabolic SAR	Trend	543.89	Buy	SAR dot is below price at NPR 543.89 (bullish). Acts as a trailing stop — if price drops below 543.89, the trend flips bearish. Good for setting stop-loss levels.
ADX (14)	Trend	38.53	Buy	ADX is 38.5 (Strong trend). +DI=26.1, -DI=10.3. Bulls dominate — +DI is above -DI. The trend is strong enough to trade with confidence.
Ichimoku Cloud	Trend	564.45	Sell	Tenkan=564.45, Kijun=592.50 (bearish cross). Price is below the cloud (bearish). All signals align bearish — consider reducing positions.
Aroon (25)	Trend	-68.00	Sell	Aroon Up=4, Down=72. Strong downtrend — recent new lows with no new highs. Selling pressure dominates.
DPO (20)	Trend	-4.73	Sell	DPO is -4.72. Negative — price is below its detrended average, suggesting a cyclical downturn. DPO removes long-term trend to show underlying cycles. Useful for timing entries within an existing trend.
RSI (14)	Momentum	45.08	Neutral	RSI is 45.1 — neutral zone. Standard zones are 70/30 but NEPSE research shows 60/40 zones work better due to strong momentum/herd behavior in Nepal's market. No extreme reading — RSI is not giving a strong signal on its own. Use with other indicators. RSI was the 2nd most important feature in ML models predicting NEPSE (arXiv 2026).
Stochastic (14,3,3)	Momentum	42.37	Sell	%K=42.4, %D=46.5. Bearish — %K is below %D, suggesting downward pressure. Stochastic compares closing price to its range over 14 days.
Stochastic RSI	Momentum	83.92	Sell	StochRSI %K=83.9. Overbought — more sensitive than regular RSI. A drop below 80 would confirm a sell signal. This is RSI applied to itself, making it faster at catching turning points.
CCI (20)	Momentum	-21.26	Neutral	CCI is -21.3 (normal range). Between -100 and +100 is normal — no extreme deviation from average price. CCI measures how far price has deviated from its mean. Works well for identifying cyclical stocks in NEPSE.
Williams %R (14)	Momentum	-62.67	Neutral	Williams %R is -62.7. Mid-range — no extreme reading. Ranges from 0 to -100 where -50 is the midpoint.
ROC (12)	Momentum	0.74	Buy	ROC is 0.74%. Price has gained 0.74% over the last 12 days. Positive momentum — buyers have been in control recently.
TRIX (15)	Momentum	-0.16	Sell	TRIX is -0.1574. Negative — triple-smoothed momentum confirms downtrend. TRIX filters out minor price fluctuations by applying three rounds of smoothing. Good for confirming the major trend direction and filtering noise in NEPSE's often-volatile daily movements.
Awesome Oscillator	Momentum	-9.63	Sell	AO is -9.63. Negative — long-term momentum exceeds short-term, indicating bearish pressure. Watch for zero-line crossovers — crossing above zero is a buy, below is a sell. Twin peaks divergence is also a strong signal.
Ultimate Osc (7,14,28)	Momentum	59.44	Neutral	UO is 59.4. Mid-range. The Ultimate Oscillator blends 7, 14, and 28-day periods to reduce false signals that plague single-period oscillators.
PPO (12,26)	Momentum	-1.54	Sell	PPO is -1.54%, Histogram: 0.34. Negative — short-term EMA is below long-term, indicating downward pressure. PPO is like MACD but expressed as a percentage, making it easier to compare across different price levels.
Coppock Curve	Momentum	-0.74	Sell	Coppock is -0.74. Negative — long-term momentum is bearish. Wait for it to turn positive before considering long positions. This indicator was designed for monthly charts but works on daily data too. Best for identifying major trend changes in NEPSE.
10d Rolling Mean	Momentum	556.54	Buy	10-day rolling mean is NPR 556.54. Price is NPR 1.46 above. This was the #1 most predictive feature in XGBoost ML models for NEPSE (arXiv 2026). Price above the 10-day mean suggests short-term bullish momentum.
ATR (14)	Volatility	18.30	—	ATR is NPR 18.30 (3.28% of price). This means the stock typically moves NPR 18.30 per day. High volatility (>3%) — wider stop-losses needed, larger position risk. Use ATR to set stop-losses: a common approach is 2x ATR (NPR 36.59) below entry.
Bollinger %B	Volatility	0.51	Neutral	BB %B is 0.51 (band position 51%). Bandwidth: 4.22%. Price is within normal range of the bands.
BB/KC Squeeze	Volatility		—	SQUEEZE ACTIVE — Bollinger Bands are inside Keltner Channels. This means volatility is very low and a big move is coming. Prepare for a breakout. The Squeeze indicator is widely used to anticipate explosive moves. When the squeeze releases, the direction of the breakout determines whether to go long or short.
5d Rolling Vol	Volatility	1.42	—	5-day rolling volatility is 1.42%. Normal (1-2%) — typical daily fluctuation. This was the 5th most important ML feature for predicting NEPSE returns.
Mass Index	Volatility	24.03	—	Mass Index is 24.03. Below 27 — no reversal bulge detected. Mass Index identifies trend reversals by measuring the range between high and low prices.
Ulcer Index	Volatility	4.83	—	Ulcer Index is 4.83 (low drawdown stress). It measures downside volatility by tracking the depth and duration of drawdowns from recent highs. Lower is better — values below 5 indicate a smooth uptrend, above 10 suggests painful drawdowns.
Donchian (20)	Volatility	589.90	Neutral	Price is at 37.3% of the 20-day Donchian Channel (Upper: 589.90, Lower: 539.00). Mid-channel — no extreme position. Donchian channels show the highest high and lowest low over 20 days.
MFI (14)	Volume	63.43	Neutral	MFI is 63.4. Normal range. Money Flow Index combines price and volume to measure buying/selling pressure. Unlike RSI which only uses price, MFI factors in volume for stronger signals.
CMF (20)	Volume	0.21	Buy	CMF is 0.2134. Positive — money is flowing INTO the stock ({strength} accumulation). Buyers are in control with volume backing them. CMF above +0.1 or below -0.1 is a strong signal. Near zero means balanced buying/selling.
OBV Trend	Volume	—	Sell	OBV is falling over the last 20 days. Falling OBV suggests volume is declining or moving to sellers — bearish divergence if price is still rising. OBV adds volume on up-days and subtracts on down-days. The direction matters more than the absolute number.
VWAP	Volume	555.70	Buy	VWAP is NPR 555.70. Price is NPR 2.3 above VWAP. Price above VWAP means the average buyer is in profit — bullish. Institutional traders often use VWAP as a benchmark.
Elder Force (13)	Volume	68517.78	Buy	EFI is 68,518. Positive — buying force (price change x volume) exceeds selling force. Large positive values mean strong institutional buying. Elder Force Index combines price direction with volume to measure the force behind moves.